红烧鱼 
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印度和巴基斯坦核武器比较：
India and Pakistan - the world's two most recent nuclear powers - have never given any facts about the number of nuclear warheads they have built or their yields. The estimates provided here are thus based on an analysis of the available information, but only represent a reasonable guess.
India's first nuclear test was made in May 1974, with a yield reported to be around 10-12 kT. There were then five more tests made in May 1998, with India claiming yields of 15 kT, 45 kT, 0.2 kT, 0.5 kT and 0.3 kT. From these tests India may have produced a first-generation nuclear bomb with a yield of 20 kT for carriage on MiG-27M, Jaguar or Mirage 2000 aircraft. It is reported that trials were made on a Mirage 2000 aircraft in 1994.
India's second-generation nuclear warheads have been developed for fitting to its Prithvi, Dhanush and Agni ballistic missiles. These warheads are expected to have yields of 20 kT for the Prithvi and Dhanush missiles and of 150-200 kT for the Agni missiles.
The estimated number of Indian missiles is given in Table A, but some will have alternate warheads other than nuclear, such as high explosive, fuel-air explosive or submunitions. It is estimated that India probably has between 50 and 150 nuclear warheads available. Analysis from some sources suggests that there is sufficient weapons grade uranium and plutonium available to India to build more warheads.
Pakistan's first nuclear tests were made in May 1998, when six warheads were tested. Pakistan claimed that the yields from these tests were 12 kT, 30-35 kT and four low-yield (below 1 kT) tests (although independent reports from outside Pakistan suggested that no blast in double-figure kilotons was achieved). Pakistan's planned yield for its larger nuclear weapon design was 20-25 kT, providing a warhead that would probably fitted to Shaheen and Ghauri ballistic missiles. The low-yield weapons would probably provide nuclear bombs to be carried by F-16 Fighting Falcon aircraft and warheads to be fitted to Pakistan's short-range ballistic missiles.
As with the Indian missiles, these Pakistani missiles will probably carry a mixture of warhead types. It is estimated that Pakistan probably has between 25 and 50 nuclear warheads available, although some sources have suggested an even higher figure.
A US Office of Technology assessment in 1993 quoted the dead and injured from a 20 kT warhead dropped on a city to be between 40,000 and 90,000, and for a 1 MT warhead to be between 60,000 and 2,000,000. Considering the population densities in the major Indian and Pakistani cities, it could be expected that the numbers of killed and injured, along with the degree of damage to facilities, would be high and that around 10 to 20 warheads could inflict devastating damage on both countries. In addition, the radiation fallout after an attack could spread several hundred miles.
However, a nuclear strike by either country could well turn out to be a pyrrhic victory since, due to the close proximity of several cities on either side of the Indo-Pakistani border, the resulting fallout could easily be blown back over the attacking country.
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Target Lifeform Eliminated
最后由 红烧鱼 在 2002-06-02 09:58 编辑
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2002-06-02 04:35
